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AFL

Sam Berry

Adelaide Crows

+3.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -769 (1.13)
+3.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
92.1%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.6%
Predicted Value
17.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, you want someone who's not just consistent but also capable of elevating their game when it matters most. Enter Sam Berry, the young gun from Adelaide Crows who's been turning heads with his on-field prowess. With a solid streak of 9 consecutive hits in home games and a stellar overall hit rate of 16 out of 16, Berry is in red-hot form. His last five home games have seen him average an impressive 14.2 disposals, comfortably eclipsing the 10.5 mark set for this matchup against the Western Bulldogs. With his knack for contested possessions and efficient ball use, Berry is poised to not just meet but exceed expectations. Betting on Berry to go over 10.5 disposals? It's a no-brainer.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). The latest model pick for Sam Berry is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.