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AFL

Sam Clohesy

Gold Coast SUNS

+11.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -175 (1.57)
+11.5% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Sun 22 Jun, 3:10AM
Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
63.7%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value
17.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Clohesy (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-175)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Clohesy is a strong bet for Over 14.5 disposals against the GWS Giants. His recent performances, averaging 16 disposals in his last five away games and maintaining a 75.2% disposal efficiency, indicate his consistent ball-winning ability. Facing an opponent where he averages 19 disposals, Clohesy is poised to exceed the 14.5 line. With a model predicting him to reach 17.9 disposals and a solid hit rate of 5/6 in his last overall games, the statistical data favors Clohesy surpassing this mark. Additionally, his trend of hitting 3/4 away games further supports this bet, making it a promising option for AFL betting enthusiasts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
22 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 15.5 Over -127 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -233 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Sam Clohesy (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Sam Clohesy is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 22 June at ENGIE Stadium, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.