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AFL

Sam Darcy

Western Bulldogs

+2.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -385 (1.26)
+2.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
81.4%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+2.1%
Predicted Value
2.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 Goals (-385)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Darcy, the rising star from the Western Bulldogs, is set to make waves at the Adelaide Oval. With a stellar average of 3 goals in his last 5 away games and a sharp eye for goal with a 78.3% accuracy, Darcy is a reliable goal-kicker. His recent form is red hot, bagging 3 goals per game on average. Facing the Adelaide Crows, a team he's historically performed well against, averaging 1 goal per game in their matchups, the stage is set for Darcy to shine. With a current hit streak of 3 games away and an overall hit rate of 6 out of his last 7 games, Darcy is in prime form to snag more than 1.5 goals in this upcoming clash. Backing Darcy to split the middle multiple times seems like a safe bet given his recent goal-scoring exploits.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 1.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 1.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Goals 1.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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About This Player

Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Sam Darcy is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.