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AFL

Sam Davidson

Western Bulldogs

+4.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -213 (1.47)
+4.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
13.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) Over 10.5 Disposals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Sam Davidson. The lad's been on a tear lately, averaging a tidy 12.2 disposals per game in his last five away matches. Now, as the Western Bulldogs hit the road to face Adelaide, Davidson's set to keep that momentum going. His recent numbers don't lie – chalking up 7 kicks, 5.2 handballs, and a solid 215.6 metres gained on average in his away fixtures. Facing the Crows, who he's historically nabbed around 12 disposals against in their last encounters, Sam's looking primed to snag that Over 10.5 line. With his current form and the Bulldogs' game style, backing Davidson to keep feeding the ball around is a smart play. Trust the numbers, back the talent, and watch Sam split the middle with those disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Sam Davidson is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.