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AFL

Sam Draper

Brisbane Lions

+6.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -270 (1.37)
+6.7% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
73.0%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Draper (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-270)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, when it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Sam Draper is our man in the spotlight for the upcoming clash between St Kilda and Brisbane Lions. Draper has been making his presence felt on the field, with an average of 0.6 goals per game in his last five away matches. His recent form against St Kilda has seen him hitting the scoreboard consistently with an average of 1 goal per game. With an overall hit rate of 1.2 goals in his last five outings, Draper is showing us that he knows how to find the big sticks. Add in his solid numbers for shots at goal and score involvements, and it's clear why we're expecting him to split the middle at least once in this game. Betting on Draper to go Over 0.5 goals is a smart move backed by his recent form and historical performance against the Saints.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Sam Draper (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Sam Draper is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.