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AFL

Sam Lalor

Richmond

+8.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -164 (1.61)
+8.2% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 28 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
70.3%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+8.2%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Lalor (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Sam Lalor is a prime pick. Despite being on the road, Sam's recent form paints a picture of consistency and impact. In his last five away games, he's been finding the big sticks with an average of 1 goal per game. His sharpshooting accuracy of 53.3% under pressure showcases his composure in front of goal. With an average of 1.4 shots on goal per game, Sam is not shy to take his chances. Additionally, his involvement in the Tigers' scoring plays, averaging 2.6 score involvements, indicates he is a pivotal part of their attacking setup. Considering his current hit rate streak of 2 and his overall hit rate of 4 goals in his last 5 games, the odds are in our favor for Sam Lalor to light up the scoreboard with at least one goal in this clash against Fremantle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 15.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Sam Lalor (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Sam Lalor is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 28 March at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.