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AFL

Sam Walsh

Carlton

+19.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 28.5 -125 (1.80)
+19.4% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+19.4%
Predicted Value
25.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Walsh (Carlton) Under 28.5 Disposals (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to Sunday's clash between Carlton and Melbourne, all eyes are on Sam Walsh. Despite his recent form, averaging an impressive 29.2 disposals over his last five home games, this matchup against the Demons presents a different challenge. In his last five encounters with Melbourne, Walsh has averaged 29.4 disposals, slightly above the bookmakers' line of 28.5. However, with the intensity of contested possessions likely to be high and turnovers potentially costly, Walsh might find it tough to reach his usual numbers. Additionally, Melbourne's defensive pressure could limit his time and space to rack up disposals. With an implied probability of 55.6%, the Under on Walsh's disposals seems like a solid play, backed by his historical performances against this opponent and the potential game dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sam Walsh (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Walsh is Under 28.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.4% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.