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AFL

Tim Taranto

Richmond

+18.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -112 (1.89)
+18.3% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sun 12 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+18.3%
Predicted Value
22.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tim Taranto (Richmond) Under 25.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Tim Taranto's recent form, the numbers are telling a clear story. While his L5 average disposals sit at a respectable 25.4, facing off against the Giants, he's been slightly underperforming with an average of 29.5 disposals in his last five games against them. His disposals efficiency might be at 67.4%, but with a turnover average of 3.4, there's room for improvement. Additionally, in away games, he tends to average 9.2 kicks and 16.2 handballs, but against the Giants specifically, his disposals have been consistently below the 25.5 line. Given his recent track record and the intense matchup looming, the data suggests that Taranto might struggle to reach the 25.5 disposals mark this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 28.6% (2/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 26.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Tim Taranto (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 28.6% (2/7). The latest model pick for Tim Taranto is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 12 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.