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AFL

Toby Nankervis

Richmond

+0.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -769 (1.13)
+0.9% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Richmond Tigers
Ninja Stadium, Hobart
Sun 14 Jun, 3:10AM
Model Probability
89.4%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
16.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Toby Nankervis (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to consistent midfield performances, Toby Nankervis stands out as a pivotal figure for the Richmond Tigers. Over his last five home games, Nankervis has showcased his prowess with an average of 15.6 disposals, exceeding the set line of 10.5 comfortably. His recent form against the Brisbane Lions has been even more impressive, averaging 18.7 disposals per game in their last five meetings. Nankervis' ability to find the ball in contested situations, coupled with his reliable disposal efficiency of 63.3%, makes him a reliable choice to snag over 10.5 possessions in this upcoming clash at Ninja Stadium. With a stellar hit rate of 11/11 in his overall performances, Nankervis is poised to continue his dominance on the field, making him a solid bet to back for another strong disposal count against the Lions.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 11.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 12.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Toby Nankervis (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for Toby Nankervis is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 14 June at Ninja Stadium, Hobart. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.