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AFL

Wil Powell

Gold Coast SUNS

+18.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 20.5 -116 (1.86)
+18.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
71.8%
Implied Probability
53.8%
Model Edge
+18.0%
Predicted Value
17.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Wil Powell (Gold Coast SUNS) Under 20.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the upcoming clash between the Gold Coast Suns and the Richmond Tigers, all eyes are on Wil Powell. Despite his recent strong form, averaging 15.6 disposals over the last five away games, facing a formidable Richmond side at the MCG could put a dent in his numbers. Powell's stats against Richmond indicate he may struggle to hit the 20.5 mark, with an average of 20.3 disposals in his last five games against them. Even though Powell has been solid, turnovers (averaging 5) and contested possessions (averaging 6.2) might trip him up against the Tigers' relentless pressure. Considering the data and the challenging matchup, betting under 20.5 disposals for Powell seems like a smart play for this showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 20.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Wil Powell (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Wil Powell is Under 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.