Cedric Tillman (CLE) Under 1.5 Receptions (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Cedric Tillman for under 1.5 receptions in the Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills game would be based on his recent and overall performance data. Tillman has been consistently underperforming in the 'player_receptions' market, with a lower than expected hit rate. In the last 3 games, he has hit the under 3 times, while at home he has hit the under 2 out of 3 times. Additionally, over his last 5 games, he has only hit the market over 3 times and at home, only twice. His overall hit rate is roughly 45% (13/29) and at home, it is slightly lower at 47% (8/17). His current hit streak for the under is also significant, with 3 overall and 2 at home. This data indicates Tillman is more likely to have fewer than 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game, suggesting the 'under' bet has a solid

Xavier Legette (CAR) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data for Xavier Legette paints a clear picture favoring the Under 21.5 player reception yards bet. Legette's recent performance and trends do not inspire confidence in his ability to exceed this mark. Over his last 10 games, he's hit the over only once, indicating a 10% hit rate. This trend is consistent at home, where he's again hit the over just once in the last 10 games. Against Tampa Bay, his performance is no better. In 2 previous match-ups, he failed to surpass this total, and the single game he played at home against Tampa Bay also saw him fall short. With an overall hit rate of just 11% (3 out of 27), the data strongly suggests a continuation of this trend, making the Under 21.5 reception yards bet a statistically sound choice.

Malik Washington (MIA) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Malik Washington to go under 17.5 receiving yards is a statistically sound choice. Over his last 20 games, Washington has only surpassed this mark twice, giving him an overall hit rate of just 10%. This trend holds when we narrow our focus to his last 10 games, where he hasn't exceeded this total at all. His hit rate for home games follows a similar pattern, with a 33% success rate over his last 12 home games, and a 20% success rate in his last 10. Washington's recent form is even less encouraging, as he has failed to exceed the 17.5 yard mark in his last 3 games, both overall and at home. These statistics suggest that Washington is unlikely to accumulate more than 17.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game against the Cincinnati Bengals.

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