Michael Wilson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Michael Wilson to finish Under 21.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game against the Seattle Seahawks is strongly supported by historical performance data. Wilson has consistently struggled to surpass this mark, especially in matchups against the Seahawks. His overall hit rate is just 9/32, which falls to 0/4 when playing against Seattle. His performance at home is slightly better with a hit rate of 5/16 but still underwhelming. His recent form is also not promising. In his last 10 games, he exceeded the reception yardage line just once. This trend is even more pronounced in home games where his hit rate is 3/10. His performance against Seattle is particularly poor, failing to reach the mark in all previous encounters. Moreover, Wilson is currently on a zero-hit streak, which indicates he is not improving. Therefore, it seems highly probable that Wilson will finish Under 21.5 receiving yards.

Trey Benson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 21.5 on Trey Benson's reception yards is statistically supported by several factors. Firstly, Benson's recent performance shows a declining trend with an overall current hit streak of 0. His overall hit rate in the last three games is also 0/3, indicating a downward trajectory in his performance. Secondly, although Benson has a good hit rate against the Seahawks (2/2), the sample size is relatively small to make a definitive prediction. Moreover, his overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 11/15, which is less than 75% and suggests inconsistency. Lastly, considering the home game factor, Benson's home hit rate is 6/8, which might seem promising, but his home current hit streak is 0, again suggesting a possible downturn. Hence, based on this data, betting under 21.5 on Trey Benson's reception yards seems to be a rational choice.

Jameson Williams (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Jameson Williams to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Detroit Lions and Cleveland Browns might seem like a risky proposition given his recent performance. Williams hasn't scored in his last three games (both overall and at home) and has only scored once in his last five home games. His overall hit rate is 11 out of 40 and his home hit rate is 6 out of 20, which are not particularly impressive numbers. However, there's a model edge of 0.168792102683558 that suggests an advantage in this bet. Also, if we consider a larger sample size, Williams has scored in 7 of his last 20 games overall and 4 of his last 10 at home. While his recent form doesn't inspire much confidence, these longer-term stats indicate that he does have the capability to find the end zone.

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