Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Tom Kennedy for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a reasonable option considering the data provided. Despite his overall hit rate being modest at 3/7, he has been improving recently with a current hit streak of 1. When playing at home, his hit rate is at 50% which shows his comfort and performance on familiar territory. Another promising trend is his performance against the Dallas Cowboys, having a perfect hit rate of 1/1. While this data is based on a limited sample size, it shows that Kennedy has been able to perform against this specific opponent in the past. With a model edge of 0.143861298927001, it means there is a positive expected value on this bet. Thus, considering these factors, betting Over 1.5 on Tom Kennedy seems a statistically sound decision.

Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 4.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1429)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Looking at Tom Kennedy's recent performance and hit rates, there's compelling statistical evidence for an Over 4.5 bet in player reception yards. Kennedy has had success against the Cowboys, hitting his target in his last meeting with Dallas (vs_dal_hit_rate_last_3: 1/1). His overall hit rate in his last 5 and last 10 games (3/5 and 5/7 respectively) shows a promising trend. His overall hit rate of 5/7 indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 4.5 reception yards. His home hit rate is 50% (2/4), suggesting that he performs reasonably well at home. Although his current hit streak is zero, it's worth noting that streaks in sports can end abruptly. Given the marginal model edge of 0.0174 and his historical performance, a bet on Kennedy for Over 4.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market seems statistically justified.

Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on Tom Kennedy's recent performance and trends, betting over 27.5 on 'player_reception_yds' is not statistically favorable. Kennedy's overall hit rate over the last 20 games is just 2/7, meaning he surpasses the 27.5 yards in less than 30% of his matches. This trend holds at home games too, with a hit rate of 1/4. Against the Dallas Cowboys specifically, he has never hit over the stated line, with a hit rate of 0/1. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero overall, at home, and against Dallas, showing a lack of recent success in achieving over 27.5 yards. Thus, Kennedy's historical performance does not suggest a high likelihood of him breaking the 27.5 yards threshold in the upcoming game against the Cowboys.

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