Trey Benson (ARI) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Trey Benson for Under 22.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is a statistically sound decision, mainly due to Benson's recent performance. First, Benson's overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 11/15, slightly favoring the Under. More specifically, his home hit rate is 6/8, indicating a strong trend towards the Under when playing at home. Moreover, when facing the Seahawks, Benson's hit rate is perfect at 2/2, and at home against the Seahawks, he's also hit the Under in his sole game. Despite Benson's overall and home current hit streak being 0, his hit streak against the Seahawks is 2, again favoring the Under. The model edge of 0.178614395531893 also suggests there is value in this bet. Therefore, the accumulated data and trends point towards Benson likely finishing with fewer than 22.5 reception yards.

Michael Wilson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data suggests a strong rationale to bet on Michael Wilson for Under 21.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market for the Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks game. Wilson has been underperforming in recent games, with a zero overall current hit streak and an overall hit rate of just 9/32. His performance against the Seahawks is particularly weak, with a hit rate of 0/4 overall and 0/2 at home. His home hit rate is only marginally better at 5/16. Over the last ten games, Wilson has only met the mark once, indicating a low probability for him to surpass 21.5 reception yards in the upcoming match. Furthermore, his performance shows no signs of improvement, with a hit rate of 0/5 in the last five games overall. Given these statistics, betting under 21.5 appears to be the most justified bet.

Jaylen Warren (PIT) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on Jaylen Warren's recent performance and hit rate trends, betting on him to register under 21.5 reception yards seems statistically reasonable. In his last five games, his overall hit rate is only 20% (1/5), and it's the same when he plays at home. Furthermore, his hit rate over the last 10 games remains unimpressive at 20% overall and 40% at home. Warren's current hit streak is also at zero, both overall and at home, indicating a lack of momentum. This is further supported by his hit rate in the last three games being 0/3 overall. While Warren has had better performance in the past (overall hit rate of 29/53 and home hit rate of 15/25), recent trends suggest that betting on him to stay under 21.5 reception yards would be a wise move.

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