Adem Bona (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+262)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the 76ers head into Boston, all eyes will be on Adem Bona. While his recent averages-4.2 points and 3.4 rebounds over the last five games-might seem modest, there's a compelling narrative brewing. Bona has hit the over on points and rebounds in 8 of his last 14 away games, which showcases his ability to step up when the pressure mounts. Against a Celtics team that can stretch defenses, he'll find opportunities to contribute more than his usual.Sure, his expected stat value hovers around 8.74, but the game context suggests a different story. With Boston's frontcourt often collapsing on stars, Bona might find the space he needs to exceed that 9.5 mark. Look for him to not only score but also grab some crucial boards. In a game that promises intensity, Bona could very well rise to the occasion. Dive in on the over; the numbers lean in his favor.

Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Celtics gear up to face the 76ers, all eyes should be on Payton Pritchard to exceed 16.5 combined points and rebounds. Playing at home, he's been on fire, averaging 20 points and 3.4 rebounds in his last five games at TD Garden. Not only does he thrive in front of the home crowd, but Pritchard's overall averages of 17.8 points and 2.8 rebounds in recent outings signal his growing confidence and role in the offense.The matchup against the 76ers also bodes well for Pritchard; he's historically managed to score around 11 points against them, but that number spikes at home. With a hit rate of 8 out of his last 9 games for this prop and a solid 3 out of 4 at home, it's clear he's found a rhythm that makes the over an enticing play. Expect him to shine in this pivotal matchup.

Sam Hauser (Boston Celtics) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics gear up to face the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes should be on Sam Hauser for a compelling player prop bet on his combined points and rebounds. Hauser has been a revelation lately, averaging 11.2 points and 4.2 rebounds in his last five outings. At home, he's even better, consistently hitting the over with a perfect 5-for-5 in recent games. Against the 76ers, he's shown he can deliver, averaging 6 points and 3.6 rebounds in their last encounters. But don't overlook the bigger picture-his overall hit rate is a staggering 9 out of the last 10 games. With an expected stat value of nearly 15, Hauser seems poised to exceed that 9.5 mark comfortably. With the home crowd behind him and his recent form, this is a prime opportunity to back Hauser to shine.

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers : Boston Celtics win (-769)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Celtics are coming into this matchup with the 76ers with an impressive record, particularly at home. The model prediction gives Boston a 0.9 chance of winning, which reflects their commanding dominance on their home court. The Celtics have seen a surge in their offensive productivity and their defensive force has been equally remarkable, which is likely to challenge the 76ers' scoring efforts. The 76ers, on the other hand, have struggled to maintain a consistent rhythm on the road, which could make this away game a challenging endeavor for them. The combination of Boston's home advantage, their heightened performance, and Philadelphia's road struggles make the Celtics a strong bet on the Moneyline market for this game. This wager is therefore based on strong performance data, favoring the home team, despite the seemingly narrow Model Edge of 5.1%.

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