Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Callum Ah Chee is poised to snag a goal in the Brisbane Lions vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup based on his recent form and matchup history. With an average of 0.6 goals in his last 5 home games and an average of 1.3 goals against Hawthorn, Ah Chee has shown consistent scoring potential. His involvement in scoring plays, demonstrated by an average of 5.6 score involvements at home, and his ability to create opportunities with 3.2 inside 50s per game make him a strong candidate to hit the scoreboard. Considering the model's prediction of 1.2 goals, Ah Chee's improved goal accuracy at home (36.7%) further supports the likelihood of him splitting the middle at least once in this game.
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 1.5 Goals (-213)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris is a solid choice to go over 1.5 goals in the upcoming Brisbane vs. Hawthorn game at the Gabba. His recent form, averaging 2.4 goals over the last five home games, coupled with a 60.9% goal accuracy, indicates his scoring prowess. With 3.8 marks inside 50 and 6 score involvements on average, Morris is consistently involved in setting up scoring opportunities. Facing Hawthorn, against whom he has averaged 2 goals in the last five matchups, Morris's current hit streak and overall goal-scoring form make him a promising bet to continue his scoring streak.
Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn Hawks : Brisbane Lions Win (-161)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
The bet on Brisbane Lions to win against Hawthorn Hawks is supported by their strong recent form. In their last five home games, the Lions have averaged 94.6 points scored and have a solid average margin of 8. They excel in clearances (36), contested possessions (126.2), and inside 50s (60.2) per game. Additionally, their ability to create turnovers (59.4) and intercepts (64.6) provides a sturdy defense. On the other hand, Hawthorn struggles away, with an average margin of -7.2 and conceding 81.2 points. Their lower averages in contested possessions (134.2) and inside 50s (49) could be exploited by the Lions' strong midfield and attacking prowess, making Brisbane Lions a strong bet for the win.
Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-500)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Cam Rayner is a strong bet to score anytime in the upcoming Brisbane Lions vs. Hawthorn Hawks game due to his recent form and matchup history. With a solid average of 1.6 goals over his last five games and a 1.2 goal average against Hawthorn, Rayner's goal-scoring ability is consistent. Additionally, his high score involvements (5.8) and shots at goal (3.8) indicate he is actively involved in attacking plays, increasing his chances of snagging a goal. Playing at home further boosts his scoring potential. Considering his recent performance and the favorable statistics against Hawthorn, Rayner is well-positioned to surpass the 0.5 goal line set by the bookmaker.
Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-250)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Cam Rayner is poised to shine at home against Hawthorn, with a model-predicted 17.6 disposals, indicating an Edge of 1.8%. His recent form shows an average of 17.2 disposals in his last five home games, surpassing the 14.5 line comfortably. Rayner's increasing contested possessions (6 avg), effective disposals (65.7% eff), and solid kicks (9.8 avg) suggest he can control the game. With a strong historical hit rate (3/4) at home and an overall hit rate of 8/10, Rayner's consistency favors him to exceed 14.5 disposals. The data supports a solid bet on Rayner to go Over in the Disposals market.
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