Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) Over 2.5 Rushing Yards (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Marvin Mims Jr. has shown a consistent performance in recent games that supports the over bet for player rush yards. While the 2.5-yard threshold may appear low, it is important to consider Mims' role in the team's offense and his statistical trends. In his last five games, Mims has averaged significantly more than this line, demonstrating his ability to contribute consistently to the running game. Furthermore, the model's edge of 0.187 indicates that there is an almost 19% greater chance of the outcome occurring than what the current market odds suggest. Against the Buffalo Bills, who have not been particularly strong against the run, Mims Jr. has an even greater opportunity to exceed this threshold. Therefore, the statistical evidence indicates that betting on Marvin Mims Jr. for Over 2.5 in the 'player_rush_yds' market is a reasonable choice.

Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) Over 2.5 Player rush yds alternate (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Marvin Mims Jr. has been showing a consistent performance in his recent games that makes a bet on him reaching over 2.5 rush yards a statistically sound choice. Analyzing his last five matches, Mims Jr. has consistently surpassed this mark, illustrating a trend that he is likely to continue. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.18755129572349 suggests that there's a strong statistical advantage in this bet. This means that the mathematical model used to analyze the game data has found that Mims Jr. is likely to exceed 2.5 rush yards, providing an edge to bettors who take this wager. Given his recent performance and the statistical model's positive outlook, a bet on Marvin Mims Jr. to exceed 2.5 rush yards seems a justified risk.

Troy Franklin (DEN) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data strongly suggests a bet on Troy Franklin for Under 20.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Franklin's recent performance indicates a downward trend in his reception yards. He has not hit the over in his last five games, both overall and at home. His hit rate in the last 10 games is also minimal, with him only surpassing the 20.5-yard marker once at home, and not at all in overall games. Furthermore, his overall hit rate is only 11 out of 34 games, and at home, it is slightly better but still low at 6 out of 17 games. His current hit streak is at zero, both overall and at home, signifying he hasn't been able to surpass this yardage in recent games. Thus, the Under 20.5 reception yards for Troy Franklin seems to be a wise bet.

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