Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Don't Miss These MLB Odds

Betting on Michael Lorenzen to allow over 0.5 walks is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Lorenzen has averaged 1.4 walks allowed, indicating a strong trend of at least one walk per game. This trend is even more pronounced in home games, where his average walks allowed increases to 2.2. Moreover, Lorenzen's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages suggest he spends a significant amount of time on the mound, providing more opportunities for walks to occur. Even when considering his performance against the Mets specifically, Lorenzen's average walks allowed is 0.8, still above the 0.5 line. Lastly, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, signal a period of less-than-peak performance, which could lead to more walks. Therefore, the statistical data strongly supports the bet for Lorenzen to allow more than 0.5 walks.

Brandon Nimmo (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

The bet on Brandon Nimmo for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Nimmo's statistics show no stolen bases in his last five games overall, his last five away games, and his last five games against the Royals. This indicates a lack of aggressive base running, suggesting a low likelihood of stealing bases in the upcoming game. Furthermore, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the same periods reinforces this conservative base running approach. Even though Nimmo is on a good hitting streak, it hasn't translated into stolen bases. Therefore, based on these stats, it's statistically sound to bet that Nimmo will not steal a base in the upcoming game.