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Live MLB odds · Model vs implied

Today's MLB Odds, with the value already flagged

Every moneyline, run line, total and team prop in one table — each price shown next to our model probability and the book's implied probability, so the edge is obvious at a glance. Updated live as prices move.

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Today's odds board

Model probability in green = our edge

Live MLB odds · model probability vs implied probability across bookmakers
Game	Market	Outcome	Odds (Dec / US)	Model Prob	Implied Prob	Prediction
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (11.5)	3.00 / +200	68.8%	33.3%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (10.5)	2.40 / +140	76.4%	41.7%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (9.5)	2.04 / +104	82.9%	49.0%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (12.5)	3.55 / +255	60.3%	28.2%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (9.0)	1.83 / -120	85.6%	54.6%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (13.5)	4.60 / +360	51.3%	21.7%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (8.5)	1.64 / -156	88.0%	61.0%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (14.5)	5.70 / +470	42.2%	17.5%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (7.5)	1.45 / -222	92.0%	69.0%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Total Runs	Over (15.5)	7.80 / +680	33.5%	12.8%	13.6
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	2.90 / +190	54.4%	34.5%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)	3.90 / +290	45.0%	25.6%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates	1.98 / -102	67.5%	50.5%	Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (1.5)	1.60 / -167	79.3%	62.5%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)	5.20 / +420	35.8%	19.2%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (1.5)	1.54 / -185	79.3%	64.9%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)	6.60 / +560	27.5%	15.2%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (2.5)	1.34 / -294	85.4%	74.6%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (-5.5)	9.00 / +800	20.2%	11.1%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (3.5)	1.23 / -435	90.2%	81.3%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (4.5)	1.14 / -714	93.7%	87.7%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (5.5)	1.09 / -1111	96.1%	91.7%	2.0
Jul 9, 4:35 PM @ Braves @ Pirates	Spread	Pittsburgh Pirates (6.5)	1.05 / -2000	97.7%	95.2%	2.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (9.5)	2.08 / +108	63.5%	48.1%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (9.0)	1.88 / -114	67.7%	53.2%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (11.5)	3.15 / +215	45.5%	31.7%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (10.5)	2.44 / +144	54.6%	41.0%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (8.5)	1.68 / -147	71.7%	59.5%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (7.5)	1.49 / -204	78.9%	67.1%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (12.5)	3.85 / +285	36.6%	26.0%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (13.5)	5.00 / +400	28.4%	20.0%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (14.5)	6.20 / +520	21.2%	16.1%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:10 PM @ Royals @ Mets	Total Runs	Over (15.5)	8.50 / +750	15.2%	11.8%	11.0
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	2.72 / +172	46.0%	36.8%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (-2.5)	3.55 / +255	36.8%	28.2%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (-3.5)	4.90 / +390	28.3%	20.4%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (1.5)	1.53 / -189	72.8%	65.4%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (1.5)	1.50 / -200	72.8%	66.7%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (-4.5)	6.40 / +540	20.9%	15.6%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (-5.5)	9.30 / +830	14.8%	10.8%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (2.5)	1.31 / -323	80.1%	76.3%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Moneyline	Chicago Cubs	2.08 / +108	51.3%	48.1%	Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Moneyline	Chicago Cubs	2.08 / +108	51.3%	48.1%	Chicago Cubs
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (3.5)	1.20 / -500	86.0%	83.3%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (4.5)	1.13 / -769	90.6%	88.5%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:35 PM @ Cubs @ Orioles	Spread	Chicago Cubs (5.5)	1.08 / -1250	94.0%	92.6%	-1.1
Jul 9, 5:40 PM @ Guardians @ Twins	Moneyline	Minnesota Twins	2.14 / +114	54.8%	46.7%	Minnesota Twins
Jul 9, 5:40 PM @ Guardians @ Twins	Total Runs	Over (8.5)	1.88 / -114	60.8%	53.2%	9.7
Jul 9, 5:40 PM @ Guardians @ Twins	Total Runs	Over (9.5)	2.26 / +126	51.8%	44.2%	9.7
Jul 9, 5:40 PM @ Guardians @ Twins	Spread	Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	3.35 / +235	36.9%	29.9%	0.1

Quick answer

What are MLB odds and how do you use them?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball markets including moneyline (winner), run line (±1.5 run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. To spot value, convert the odds to implied probability (1 ÷ decimal odds) and compare to your own or a model's estimate. When the model probability is meaningfully higher than the implied probability, the price may offer positive expected value.

                    Quick formula: implied % = 1 ÷ decimal odds.
                    Example: 2.20 = 45.5% implied.
                

What you can do in 30 seconds

Scan the table for your market — moneyline, run line, totals, or props.
Compare model vs implied probability for a pricing mismatch.
Jump to picks or props using the links below for context and reasoning.

Focus

Odds comparison

Across bookmakers

Edge lens

Model vs implied

Value identification

The method behind the numbers

The board pairs each price with two numbers that matter: model probability (what our model estimates should happen) and implied probability (what the bookmaker's odds suggest). Reading them side by side is how you judge pricing in seconds and isolate genuine value from noise.

Read any price in four steps

Pick a market — Moneyline, Run Line, Totals, or a team prop.
Read the price in decimal and American format.
Compare model vs implied — if model probability is higher, the price may be value.
Use the prediction column — moneyline shows the projected winner, other markets show the predicted number.

Value is not a guarantee — it is a pricing mismatch signal. Manage bankroll and avoid overexposure on any single selection.

MLB betting markets explained

Use this table to match a market type to what it means and what to compare.

Market	What it means	What to compare
Moneyline	Pick the outright winner of the game.	Model win probability vs implied probability from the odds.
Run Line	Handicap market, commonly -1.5 or +1.5 runs.	Model margin prediction and how the handicap changes the true win chance.
Totals	Over or under the combined runs line.	Model total runs prediction vs the posted line and odds price.
Team Props	Team-level markets — alt run lines, team totals, specials.	Model output for the specific prop vs the bookmaker's implied probability.

Why model vs implied probability matters

Sportsbooks build margin into every price. Implied probability shows what the market is charging for an outcome. Model probability is an independent estimate. When the gap between them is meaningful, it may indicate positive expected value — but only bet when the margin is large enough to overcome the bookmaker's vig and normal variance.

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Prop markets and value angles.

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MLB Betting Hub

Guides, explanations and the latest analysis.

MLB Betting Guide

Beginner to advanced, every market covered.

Official MLB information: MLB.com. Bet responsibly — outcomes are uncertain and this page is for informational purposes only.

MLB Odds FAQ

Quick answers

What are MLB odds?

MLB odds are the prices sportsbooks offer on baseball outcomes including moneyline (outright winner), run line (1.5-run spread), totals (over/under combined score), and team props. Odds reflect the implied probability of each outcome occurring — converting them to a percentage lets you compare against your own or a model's estimate to identify potential value.

How do I convert MLB odds to implied probability?

For decimal odds, implied probability equals 1 ÷ decimal odds. A price of 1.80 implies approximately 55.6%. A price of 2.20 implies approximately 45.5%. For American odds, convert to decimal first: positive odds use (100 ÷ odds) + 1, negative odds use (|odds| + 100) ÷ |odds|, then apply the same formula.

What is the difference between moneyline and run line?

Moneyline is simply which team wins the game outright — no margin required. The run line adds a fixed 1.5-run spread: the favourite at -1.5 must win by 2 or more runs, and the underdog at +1.5 covers by losing by 1 run or winning outright. Because baseball is low-scoring, this 1.5-run margin significantly changes the implied probability and odds compared to the moneyline on the same game.

What are MLB totals in betting?

MLB totals (over/under) are bets on the combined runs scored by both teams. The sportsbook sets a total runs line and you choose whether the final combined score will go over or under that number. Key inputs affecting totals are starting pitcher quality, park factors (altitude, dimensions), wind direction and speed, and lineup run-scoring rates against the opposing pitcher type. All runs including extra innings count unless you are specifically betting a First 5 Innings total.

How does Bet Better find value in MLB odds?

Bet Better runs Monte Carlo simulations and statistical models to estimate true outcome probabilities for each MLB market. These model probabilities are displayed alongside the bookmaker's implied probability so you can see the gap directly. When model probability is meaningfully higher than implied probability after accounting for the bookmaker's margin (vig), the price may offer positive expected value. Small gaps can be noise — a meaningful margin is typically required before acting on any edge.

How often are MLB odds updated on this page?

This page is designed to reflect the latest available odds from bookmakers as they move. Odds change frequently as starting pitchers are confirmed, lineups are announced, injury news breaks, and betting volume shifts the market. Always verify the current price at your sportsbook before placing a bet, as prices displayed here may have moved since the last update.

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Today's MLB Odds, with the value already flagged

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Read any price in four steps

MLB betting markets explained

Why model vs implied probability matters

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MLB Odds FAQ

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