Marcell Ozuna (ATL) Under 1.5 Hits (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pirates gear up to face the Nationals, all eyes will be on Marcell Ozuna, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits feels like a risky gamble. The Pirates' pitching staff has been surprisingly effective at home, sporting a solid 3.45 ERA at PNC Park this season, which could stifle even the most seasoned hitters.
Ozuna, while capable, has struggled against left-handers this year, posting a mere .220 average against southpaws. With the Pirates likely sending a lefty to the mound, this matchup could spell trouble for him. Historically, he's also had trouble in April, where his bat tends to take longer to heat up.
With an implied probability of nearly 77% for the under, it’s hard to see Ozuna racking up those hits. Given the current trends and his recent struggles, hitting under 1.5 seems like the smart play in this matchup.