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Max Fried

ATL

+21.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 +101 (2.01)
+21.9% Edge
New York Yankees @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Thu 26 Mar, 12:05AM
Model Probability
71.7%
Implied Probability
49.8%
Model Edge
+21.9%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Max Fried (ATL) Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants face off against the Yankees, Max Fried stands poised to shine on the mound. The southpaw's recent form has been nothing short of exceptional, allowing just a smattering of hits over his last few starts. With his robust ground ball rate and sharp breaking stuff, Fried has a knack for keeping hitters off balance, particularly against right-handed batsmen—a key factor against a Yankees lineup that leans heavily on righties. It’s also worth noting that the Giants’ defense has been solid behind him, turning potential hits into outs with impressive efficiency. Given Fried's ability to limit hard contact and the Yankees' current struggles to generate consistent offense, betting on him to stay under 4.5 hits allowed feels like a savvy move. With a model prediction of just 3.47, the odds are certainly stacked in favor of this under bet, making it a compelling play in what promises to be an intriguing matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Max Fried (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Fried is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs San Francisco Giants on Thursday 26 March at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.