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Trevor Story

COL

+17.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -278 (1.36)
+17.5% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston
Sun 5 Apr, 5:35PM
Model Probability
91.0%
Implied Probability
73.5%
Model Edge
+17.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Trevor Story (COL) Under 1.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into this matchup between the Red Sox and Padres, Trevor Story's recent performance raises some eyebrows. Despite being a formidable talent, he’s struggling to find his rhythm, posting a batting average that’s lagging behind his career norms. The Padres’ pitching staff, led by a resurgent ace, has been particularly effective at limiting hits, showcasing a solid strikeout rate that makes it tough for hitters like Story to get comfortable. Moreover, Boston's lineup has shown vulnerability against right-handed pitchers, and today’s matchup features a righty who’s excelled at keeping the ball in the park. Add in that Story has recorded fewer than 1.5 hits in several recent contests, and the under becomes increasingly appealing. With the odds favoring this trend, taking the under on Story’s hits seems like a savvy move as we anticipate a tight battle on the diamond.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Story (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Story is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox on Sunday 5 April at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.