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Aaron Gordon

Denver Nuggets

+13.3% Edge
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Over 4.5 -161 (1.62)
+13.3% Edge
Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Sun 15 Mar, 12:30AM
Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+13.3%
Predicted Value
6.2 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) Over 4.5 Rebounds (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets roll into Los Angeles, Aaron Gordon is primed to dominate the boards. With an impressive average of 9.4 rebounds over his last five outings, he's been a force, especially away from home where he still pulls down a solid 8 rebounds per game. The Lakers present a unique challenge, but in their last matchup, Gordon grabbed nearly 8.4 boards on the road. Given his recent form-hitting the over in all seven of his last games-Gordon's tenacity in crashing the glass is hard to overlook. With the Nuggets relying on his athleticism against a Lakers frontcourt that can be vulnerable on the boards, banking on him to surpass 4.5 rebounds feels almost like a lock. The numbers support it, and with an expected stat value of 6.18, it just seems like the right time to back Aaron Gordon in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 4.5 Over -161 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Aaron Gordon (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). Aaron Gordon is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Aaron Gordon is Over 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 15 March at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.