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Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz

+20.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 33.5 -357 (1.28)
+20.5% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Sun 22 Mar, 1:30AM
Model Probability
98.6%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+20.5%
Predicted Value
18.2 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Utah Jazz prepare to host the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but this might be a game where less is more for him. With a points and rebounds line set at 33.5, the under seems like a savvy play. Over his last 20 games, Bailey has hit this mark just twice, showcasing a remarkable under performance with an 18/20 overall hit rate. At home, he's been even more restrained, hitting the under 19 out of 20 times. The Jazz's defensive scheme is likely to neutralize his scoring opportunities, especially against a robust 76ers defense that excels at limiting production from star players. Plus, with an expected stat value of only 18.23, the math just doesn't add up for Bailey to exceed that lofty total. It's a solid bet to ride the under here as he faces off against Philadelphia.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 0.0% (0/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz Points 21.5 Under -167 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz 3-Pointers 2.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz Pts + Rebs + Asts 31.5 Under -250 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz Pts + Rebs Pending
20 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/5). The latest model pick for Ace Bailey is Under 33.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz on Sunday 22 March at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.