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NBA

Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz

+20.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 25.5 -108 (1.93)
+20.7% Edge
Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Wed 8 Apr, 12:00AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+20.7%
Predicted Value
21.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Utah Jazz, targeting Ace Bailey for under 25.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a smart play. Despite his impressive talent, Bailey has been dialed back on the road, showcasing a hit rate of just 1 in the last 7 games away from home. Against the Jazz, he's up against a defense that's particularly adept at limiting scoring opportunities. In fact, Bailey's expected stat value of 21 suggests he might struggle to exceed that 25.5 threshold. Historical trends paint a telling picture, too: he's hit under on the road consistently, with a 6/7 rate in his last away outings. Given the Pelicans' varied offensive dynamics, it's reasonable to anticipate Bailey falling short of that mark. So, let's lean into the under and ride this trend while it lasts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Utah Jazz @ Oklahoma City Thunder 3-Pointers 2.5 Under +116 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Ace Bailey is Under 25.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.7% on this pick. Their next game is Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday 8 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.