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Al Horford

Boston Celtics

+5.7% Edge
🔥 14 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Assists Under 5.5 -833 (1.12)
+5.7% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco
Sat 14 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
95.0%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+5.7%
Predicted Value
2.5 Assists

AI Analysis

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Al Horford (Boston Celtics) Under 5.5 Assists (-833)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Warriors-Timberwolves showdown, Al Horford's assist line draws our attention, particularly the under at 5.5. Let's face it: Horford has been quietly effective but isn't a playmaker in the traditional sense. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 1.4 assists overall and only 2 in home matchups, which starkly contrasts with the 5.5 mark set for this game.Looking at the Timberwolves, they've held opposing bigs to an average of just 4 assists per game at home. Plus, Horford's track record against Minnesota shows he's only managed 3 assists in their previous encounters. The numbers paint a clear picture: with a hit rate of 14/14 for the under over his last stretch, the odds seem heavily stacked in favor of him falling short of that line. So, let's lean into this narrative and take the under on Horford's assists.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists 5.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Assists 3.5 Under -149 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 14.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
11 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors Assists Pending
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Al Horford (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). Al Horford is currently on a 14-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Al Horford is Under 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors on Saturday 14 March at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.