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NBA

Anthony Edwards

Minnesota Timberwolves

+21.4% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Assists Under 4.5 +122 (2.22)
+21.4% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Tue 21 Apr, 2:30AM
Model Probability
66.5%
Implied Probability
45.0%
Model Edge
+21.4%
Predicted Value
3.7 Assists

AI Analysis

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Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 4.5 Assists (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming matchup against the Denver Nuggets, targeting Anthony Edwards for under 4.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Though he's been a dynamic force for the Timberwolves, recent trends suggest he may struggle to hit that mark. Averaging just four assists over his last five games, he's been under that threshold in three of those contests. Now, let's consider the context. Playing away from home against a stout Denver defense, Edwards faces a tougher landscape. Historically, he's averaged around 6 assists against the Nuggets, but that's a bit misleading given he's been on the road. In his last three away games, he's also hit that under every time. With an expected stat value of just 3.75 and an implied probability of 45% for going under, this bet feels solid. All signs point to a tight contest where he may not be facilitating as much, making this a compelling under play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 66.7% (6/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists 4.5 Under +122 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Rebounds 5.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Points Pending
21 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets Assists Pending
03 Apr 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (6/9). Anthony Edwards is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Anthony Edwards is Under 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 21 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.