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Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

+7.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 6.5 -135 (1.74)
+7.7% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards
Capital One Arena, Washington
Thu 19 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
65.2%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value
5.5 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Wizards, all eyes will be on Ausar Thompson, but betting on him to pull down over 6.5 rebounds might not be the sharpest move. Thompson's recent performance tells a different story; he's averaged just 5 rebounds over his last five games and managed only 4.6 against the Wizards specifically. Even more telling, when playing away, that number dips slightly to 5.4. In a league where consistency is key, Thompson's overall hit rate shows he's gone under this mark 18 out of his last 20 games. Plus, away from home, he's hit the under 10 out of his last 11 times. With the Wizards' frontcourt being relatively solid, I see Thompson struggling to exceed that 6.5 threshold. Given these trends, betting the under feels like a smart play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Rebounds 6.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
17 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Rebounds 4.5 Over -139 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
26 Feb 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
24 Feb 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Under 6.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards on Thursday 19 March at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.