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NBA

Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

+17.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +372 (4.72)
+17.0% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Sun 19 Apr, 10:30PM
Model Probability
38.2%
Implied Probability
21.2%
Model Edge
+17.0%
Predicted Value
17.4 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+372)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Magic at home, all eyes should be on Ausar Thompson. Despite averaging just over 10 points and 5 rebounds at home recently, there's a reason to believe he'll exceed the 19.5 mark tonight. Thompson has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly against Orlando, where he's averaged 10.6 points and 7.4 rebounds in their last five encounters. Playing on home turf typically boosts performance, and with an average of 6.4 boards against the Magic at home, he's a strong candidate for a big night. The Pistons will rely on his versatility, especially if the game stays competitive. With a significant model edge and the potential for him to capitalize on matchups, betting on Thompson to go over 19.5 points plus rebounds feels like a promising play. It could be one of those nights where he finally breaks out, making this a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 16.7% (1/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +372 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over +152 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 15.5 Over +116 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs Pending
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs Pending
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 16.7% (1/6). The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.0% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.