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NBA

Cooper Flagg

Dallas Mavericks

+21.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Under 25.5 -114 (1.88)
+21.0% Edge
Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+21.0%
Predicted Value
21.7 Points

AI Analysis

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Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 25.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting on him to score under 25.5 points might just be the savvy move. Despite his impressive average of 30.2 points over the last five games, his performance away from home tells a different story, dropping to 23.4 points. Flagg's numbers against the Mavericks show an average of just 21.5 points overall, and when he's playing on their turf, that dips to 27. With a hit rate of 12 out of his last 17 games and an impressive 8 out of 10 when playing away, there's reason to believe he might struggle to clear this line, especially against a defensive-minded Mavericks team. The implied probability of him not exceeding this mark sits at a compelling 53.2%, making the under a tantalizing option for those looking to capitalize on the nuances of matchup dynamics.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (19 picks) 89.5% (17/19)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Points 25.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 48.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 38.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs Pending
09 Apr 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 19 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 89.5% (17/19). The latest model pick for Cooper Flagg is Under 25.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns on Thursday 9 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.