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NBA

Deandre Ayton

Los Angeles Lakers

+22.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 24.5 -112 (1.89)
+22.9% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
Model Probability
75.8%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+22.9%
Predicted Value
19.7 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Heading into this matchup against the Dallas Mavericks, Deandre Ayton's recent performance suggests that taking the under on his combined points and rebounds at 24.5 is an intriguing play. Over the last five games, Ayton has averaged just 12 points and 6.8 rebounds, a significant dip from what's needed to hit the mark. When he's on the road, those numbers drop even further, to 10.4 points and 6.2 rebounds. Additionally, facing off against the Mavericks, Ayton has only managed 12 points on average in their last encounters, making it difficult to envision him suddenly breaking out in Dallas. With a hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 games landing below this threshold, the trend is firmly in favor of the under. Given his current form and the matchup dynamics, laying down a bet on Ayton to stay under 24.5 seems like a savvy move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Points 15.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 13.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Blocks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Deandre Ayton is Under 24.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.9% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.