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NBA

Duncan Robinson

Miami Heat

+11.7% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Points Under 11.5 -135 (1.74)
+11.7% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Sun 15 Mar, 7:30PM
Model Probability
69.2%
Implied Probability
57.5%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
8.5 Points

AI Analysis

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Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat) Under 11.5 Points (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Raptors and Pistons, Duncan Robinson's scoring prop at under 11.5 points stands out as a solid opportunity. Sure, he's known for his shooting prowess, but recent performances tell a different story. Over his last five games, Robinson has averaged just 5 points, which is well below our threshold. Even in his home outings, he's managed only 12.4 points but has frequently struggled against the Pistons, averaging just 10.8 points in their last encounters.Moreover, he's hit the under consistently lately, with a perfect 5-for-5 run. The Pistons' defense has tightened, allowing an average of just 12.2 points to shooting guards at home. With Robinson's recent struggles and the matchup dynamics, betting the under seems like a wise choice here. It's not just about the numbers; it's about the trend in his game play and how it aligns with today's opposition.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 45.5% (5/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Toronto Raptors Points 11.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts 15.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts 13.5 Under -130 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs Pending
10 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs Pending
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 45.5% (5/11). Duncan Robinson is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Duncan Robinson is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors on Sunday 15 March at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.