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Dyson Daniels

Atlanta Hawks

+28.8% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Assists Under 7.5 -152 (1.66)
+28.8% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Atlanta Hawks
State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Sun 22 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
89.1%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+28.8%
Predicted Value
5.3 Assists

AI Analysis

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Dyson Daniels (Atlanta Hawks) Under 7.5 Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Dyson Daniels steps onto the court against the Warriors, the spotlight shines a little too bright for his assist numbers. While he's been a solid contributor lately, averaging 4.4 assists in his last five games, his home performances reveal a more telling story. At home, he's netted 5.6 assists on average, but when facing the Warriors, this figure drops to about 3.7. With the Hawks hosting the Warriors, it's crucial to consider the matchup. Golden State's defense has been stingy, and Daniels has struggled in high-pressure situations-his assist totals against them reflect that. Over the past four games, he's hit the under with ease, showcasing a hit rate of 100%. With an expected stat value of just 5.32 assists and the implied probability sitting at 60.2%, taking the under on 7.5 seems like a savvy, data-driven move for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (14 picks) 71.4% (10/14)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Asts 16.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks Points 11.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs 17.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Asts — — — Pending
16 Mar 26 Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
10 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dyson Daniels (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 14 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 71.4% (10/14). Dyson Daniels is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Dyson Daniels is Under 7.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.8% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks on Sunday 22 March at State Farm Arena, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.