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Gary Payton II

Golden State Warriors

+1.2% Edge
🔥 21 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 6.5 -1250 (1.08)
+1.2% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York
Mon 16 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
93.8%
Implied Probability
92.6%
Model Edge
+1.2%
Predicted Value
2.7 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Rebounds (-1250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on Gary Payton II's rebounding numbers. While the books have set his line at 6.5, the trend suggests he won't hit that mark. In his last five games, Payton has averaged just 2 rebounds, with a woeful 1.6 when playing on the road. Facing a physical Knicks frontcourt, it's hard to see him breaking through that threshold.Even more telling is his consistency against the Knicks; he's recorded only 2 boards in their past matchups, and that number hasn't changed when he's away. With an impeccable track record of hitting the under-20 for 20 in his last outings-there's little reason to believe he'll buck that trend now. Betting under 6.5 rebounds on Payton feels not just wise, but almost inevitable, given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 6.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
26 Feb 26 Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds 4.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). Gary Payton II is currently on a 21-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Gary Payton II is Under 6.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.2% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks on Monday 16 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.