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NBA

Gary Payton II

Golden State Warriors

+15.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 10.5 -108 (1.93)
+15.0% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood
Thu 16 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
66.9%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+15.0%
Predicted Value
13.5 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors prepare to face off against the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes should be on Gary Payton II for a solid player prop bet on the over for points and rebounds at 10.5. Payton has been a quiet force lately, averaging 11.8 points and 3.4 rebounds in his last five away games, which puts him right on the edge of that prop line. Against the Clippers, he's shown a knack for stepping up, averaging 4.4 points when facing them, and with a staggering hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 games, confidence is high. The Warriors will rely on his versatility as they look to exploit the Clippers' defense, and if his recent form continues, he's likely to surpass that 10.5 mark comfortably. With an expected stat value of 13.52, it feels like a no-brainer to back Payton in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Asts 14.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 6.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
26 Feb 26 Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Gary Payton II is Over 10.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 16 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.