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NBA

Josh Hart

New York Knicks

+21.3% Edge
🔥 6 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Assists Under 6.5 -159 (1.63)
+21.3% Edge
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York
Sun 22 Mar, 11:30PM
Model Probability
82.7%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+21.3%
Predicted Value
4.8 Assists

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Josh Hart (New York Knicks) Under 6.5 Assists (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to face the Wizards at Madison Square Garden, all eyes should be on Josh Hart's assist total. Even at home, where he averages a respectable 5.2 assists in his last five games, context is key. Against Washington, Hart has historically struggled, with his home average against them sinking to just 3.8 assists. Despite his impressive overall hit rate of 6-for-6 recently, those numbers can be misleading. His recent form in assists sits at 3.4 per game, and with an expected stat value of just 4.83, it's clear that the 6.5 threshold feels a tad ambitious. Given the Wizards' defensive schemes and Hart's tendency to distribute elsewhere when the offense flows, betting the under on his assists is not just a smart play-it's a calculated one. Keep an eye on this prop; it looks ripe for an underperformance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (17 picks) 76.5% (13/17)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Assists 7.5 Under -1000 ✓ HIT
16 Mar 26 Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 New York Knicks @ Denver Nuggets Points — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 New York Knicks @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Hart (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 17 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 76.5% (13/17). Josh Hart is currently on a 6-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Josh Hart is Under 6.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks on Sunday 22 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.