Keldon Johnson (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the San Antonio Spurs host the Indiana Pacers, all eyes will be on Keldon Johnson, but we see value in betting on him to fall under 5.5 rebounds. Johnson's recent rebounding numbers tell a compelling story; he's averaging just 4.4 boards over his last five games, and while he's been slightly more productive at home with 4.6, the matchup against the Pacers may not favor him. Historically, he's only managed an average of 4 rebounds against Indiana, dipping to just 3 in their last encounter. With a hit rate of 4-for-4 in the last four games and 7-for-10 at home, it's clear his rebounding output is trending downward. Given that the expected stat value is only 4.36, taking the under on Johnson's rebounds feels like a strong play in this matchup.