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Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers

+6.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 8.5 -159 (1.63)
+6.9% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston
Tue 17 Mar, 1:30AM
Model Probability
68.2%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+6.9%
Predicted Value
7.6 Assists

AI Analysis

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Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 8.5 Assists (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Luka Doncic gears up to face the Houston Rockets, betting on him to land Under 8.5 assists feels like a savvy play. Recent trends hint at a shift; he's averaged just 5.8 assists over his last five games, a noticeable dip from his earlier numbers. Even when he's away, he's only managed 6 assists per game during that stretch, and while his historical average against the Rockets is 7.4, the away matchup has seen him clock in at 8.3.Digging deeper, Doncic has hit the Under in 9 of his last 12 outings, and remarkably, he's a perfect 4-for-4 in his last away games. With the Rockets' defense tightening and Doncic's role becoming more about scoring than playmaking lately, it's easy to see why this prop has the potential to remain under the radar. Trust the numbers here; they tell a story that favors the Under.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 80.0% (16/20)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Assists 8.5 Under -159 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts 40.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Rebs + Asts Pending
17 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets Pts + Asts Pending
15 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 20 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (16/20). The latest model pick for Luka Doncic is Under 8.5 on Assists. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets on Tuesday 17 March at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.