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Nikola Jokic

Denver Nuggets

+24.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 10.5 -125 (1.80)
+24.1% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver
Sun 22 Mar, 9:00PM
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+24.1%
Predicted Value
9.0 Assists

AI Analysis

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Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets face off against the Portland Trail Blazers, keep an eye on Nikola Jokic's assist total, particularly if you're considering the under at 10.5. Despite his immense talent, recent trends suggest he may fall short of this mark. Sure, Jokic has dazzled with an average of 11.6 assists over the last five games, but at home, that number dips slightly to 10.8.Against the Blazers, he's averaged just 8.4 assists in recent encounters, and at home, that figure rises modestly to 9.4. With Portland's defense tightening against elite playmakers, it's likely Jokic will focus more on scoring, especially with his current hot streak. Given that he's only cleared this threshold in 2 of his last 3 games, betting the under feels like a savvy play in what promises to be a competitive matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 71.4% (5/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Toronto Raptors @ Denver Nuggets Assists 10.5 Under -135 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts 50.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets Points 39.5 Under -1250 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets Points Pending
12 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets Rebs + Asts Pending
12 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ Denver Nuggets Assists Pending

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About This Player

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 71.4% (5/7). The latest model pick for Nikola Jokic is Under 10.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets on Sunday 22 March at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.