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NBA

Rasheer Fleming

Phoenix Suns

+17.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 3.5 +128 (2.28)
+17.3% Edge
Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Wed 25 Mar, 3:00AM
Model Probability
61.1%
Implied Probability
43.9%
Model Edge
+17.3%
Predicted Value
2.8 Rebounds

AI Analysis

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Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) Under 3.5 Rebounds (+128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Rasheer Fleming, but not for the reasons you might think. While he's certainly been a solid contributor, recent trends suggest that betting the under on his rebounds at 3.5 could be the way to go. Over the last five games, Fleming has averaged just 3.6 rebounds, and when squaring off against the Nuggets, that number drops significantly to one. Playing at home has been marginally better, yet he's still managed just 0 rebounds against Denver on his own court. With a hit rate of just 17 out of his last 20 home games, the numbers paint a clear picture: Fleming is likely to fall short of that 3.5 mark. The expected stat value of 2.81 only reinforces the idea that fewer boards are in store for him this matchup. Trust the data, and consider the under a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 85.7% (6/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 3.5 Under +128 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 4.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs 15.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Points Pending
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
22 Mar 26 Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Rasheer Fleming (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 85.7% (6/7). The latest model pick for Rasheer Fleming is Under 3.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns on Wednesday 25 March at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.