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NBA

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors

+20.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Under 33.5 -114 (1.88)
+20.6% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
73.8%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+20.6%
Predicted Value
29.4 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

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Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Under 33.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors head into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Stephen Curry, but betting on him to go under 33.5 points and assists feels like the play. Recent performances show a trend; over his last five games, he's averaging just 23.2 points and 3.6 assists, hardly the numbers you'd expect from a superstar. On the road, those figures dip slightly to 24.6 points and 4.2 assists, which still puts him comfortably short of our target. When facing the Suns, Curry has averaged 22 points and 5 assists in recent matchups, but he's done even worse away, with only 20.6 points and 5.4 assists. With a hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 outings going under this line, it seems Curry may be more of a decoy than the offensive juggernaut we're used to. This game may not be his stage to shine, making the under a

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 42.9% (3/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 33.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 37.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Assists 5.5 Under -192 ✓ HIT
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs Pending
10 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs Pending
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 42.9% (3/7). The latest model pick for Stephen Curry is Under 33.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.6% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.