Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
NBA

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs

+10.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Asts Under 25.5 -123 (1.81)
+10.6% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Wed 18 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
65.8%
Implied Probability
55.2%
Model Edge
+10.6%
Predicted Value
22.9 Pts + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-123)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings head to San Antonio, all eyes will be on Stephon Castle, but I'm leaning toward the under on his combined points and assists at 25.5. While he averages a respectable 20.4 points and 6.8 assists in his last five away games, the Spurs have a knack for tightening up defensively against emerging talents like Castle. He's managed just 16.5 points and 2 assists when facing them away from home.In fact, his recent outings against San Antonio show a drop-off, posting only 14.5 points and 3.8 assists on average. With the Kings' depth and ball-sharing tendencies, Castle may find his opportunities limited. Given his expected stat value of around 22.87, the under seems like a savvy play. It's a game where he might not shine as brightly, making this bet a compelling choice as he navigates a challenging Spurs defense.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (16 picks) 56.3% (9/16)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Asts 25.5 Under -123 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 29.5 Under -127 ✗ MISS
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Points 14.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
11 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ San Antonio Spurs Rebs + Asts Pending
09 Mar 26 Houston Rockets @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
06 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 16 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 56.3% (9/16). The latest model pick for Stephon Castle is Under 25.5 on Pts + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings on Wednesday 18 March at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.