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NBA

Trendon Watford

Philadelphia 76ers

+10.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebounds Under 4.5 -159 (1.63)
+10.5% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
Model Probability
71.9%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+10.5%
Predicted Value
3.1 Rebounds

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on Trendon Watford, but not in the way you might expect. With a line set at 4.5 rebounds, the under seems particularly enticing. Watford has averaged just 4.2 rebounds over his last five games, and even more telling, he's pulling down only 4 boards at home. When squaring off against the Thunder, his numbers dip further to a mere 3.2 rebounds, both overall and in their previous encounters here. In fact, he's hit the under in three of his last four games, and at home, he's only cleared this mark 14 out of 18 times. Given these trends, it's hard to see him suddenly breaking out tonight, especially against a Thunder squad that plays at a pace that limits second-chance opportunities. Betting the under on Watford's rebounds feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 40.0% (4/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds 4.5 Under -159 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -122 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts 12.5 Under -104 ✗ MISS
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebs + Asts Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebounds Pending
23 Mar 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 40.0% (4/10). The latest model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers on Monday 23 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.