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Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans

+11.7% Edge
🔥 7 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 9.5 -152 (1.66)
+11.7% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
72.0%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+11.7%
Predicted Value
7.5 Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 9.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans prepare to host the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Trey Murphy III, but I'm leaning towards the under on his combined rebounds and assists of 9.5. Over his last five games, Murphy has averaged just 4 rebounds and 2 assists, which puts him well below our threshold. At home, those numbers dip even further to around 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists. Interestingly, against the Clippers, he's averaged only 3.4 boards and 3 assists in their last few matchups, which doesn't bode well for hitting that 9.5 mark. Consider that he's hit the under in all of his last seven games, with a perfect 6-for-6 at home. Given the Pelicans' current dynamics and Murphy's role, it seems we're set for a quieter night for him, making the under a solid play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans Assists 4.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
07 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 19.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts 32.5 Under -120 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). Trey Murphy III is currently on a 7-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 9.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday 19 March at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.