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Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs

+20.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 37.5 -120 (1.83)
+20.3% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Sun 22 Mar, 12:00AM
Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+20.3%
Predicted Value
32.8 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 37.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Spurs host the Pacers, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but betting on him to go under 37.5 points and rebounds feels like the smart move here. Despite his recent surge, averaging 28.8 points and 11.2 rebounds over his last five games, he's often been contained against Indiana. Historically, he's only managed 23.5 points and 11.2 rebounds per game against them, which shows a clear trend. At home, he's slightly better, with 32.2 points and 10.6 boards, yet he still hasn't consistently crossed that 37.5 mark, hitting the under in 5 of his last 12 games at the AT&T Center. With his expected value sitting at 32.83 for this matchup, it's reasonable to believe he'll fall short again. Wembanyama may dazzle, but tonight, the Pacers know how to keep him in check.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 37.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs Assists 2.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings Assists 2.5 Over -175 ✗ MISS
18 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending
18 Mar 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Sacramento Kings Rebs + Asts Pending
14 Mar 26 Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs Assists Pending

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About This Player

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Victor Wembanyama is Under 37.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 22 March at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.