De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 11.5 Points (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs roll into Madison Square Garden, all eyes should be on De'Aaron Fox as he gears up for a big night. With a current average of 16.2 points in his last five away games, Fox has proven he can thrive under pressure, especially when the crowd gets loud in New York. Historically, he's been a consistent scorer against the Knicks, averaging 15.6 points in their recent matchups. His overall hit rate is staggering-16 out of his last 20 games have seen him soar past the 11.5-point mark. The numbers suggest he's not just capable; he's practically destined to cross this threshold. With an expected stat value of nearly 20 points, it's clear Fox is primed for a standout performance. Given the stakes and his current form, taking the over on Fox feels not just safe, but smart.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks face off against the Spurs, all eyes will be on Dylan Harper and his three-point shooting. However, betting the under on his 1.5 threes made feels like the smart play here. While Harper's had some solid games recently, averaging 1.2 threes in his last five, he's only managed to hit the over against the Spurs once, with an average of just 0.4 threes against them in those matchups. Traveling away from home, his numbers dip even further-he's only averaging one three made in his last five away games. Plus, with the Knicks' offense revolving around other key players, Harper may not get the volume he needs to exceed this mark. With an expected stat value of just 0.73 and a hit rate of 8/9 in away games, the under seems like a solid choice to capitalize on.

Miles McBride (New York Knicks) Over 4.5 Points + Rebounds (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Miles McBride is poised for a breakout performance as the Knicks host the Spurs. With the game at Madison Square Garden, McBride feeds off the home crowd, and recent trends suggest he thrives in this environment. Over his last 20 home games, he's hit the points-plus-rebounds mark 16 times, showcasing a consistent ability to step up when it matters. While his averages over the last five games show he's been settling into a rhythm with 5.4 points and 1 rebound, the matchup against the Spurs is particularly favorable. Historically, he's put up 8.6 points against them, and given the defensive struggles of San Antonio, it's reasonable to expect him to surpass that 4.5 threshold comfortably. With an expected stat value of 11.11 and an impressive hit rate recently, betting on McBride to go over 4.5 points + rebounds feels like a smart play.

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