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Jalen Tolbert

DAL

+15.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Receptions Under 1.5 -130 (1.77)
+15.7% Edge
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
Model Probability
72.2%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+15.7%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Jalen Tolbert (DAL) Under 1.5 Receptions (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data provided for Jalen Tolbert suggests a strong rationale for a bet on Under 1.5 in the 'player receptions' market for the Cowboys vs Giants game. Tolbert's overall hit rate over his last 32 games is just 31.25%, and this drops to 27.78% in home games. This trend continues when he plays against the Giants, with a hit rate of only 25% overall and no successful hits at home in the last two games. His recent performance also supports this, as he has hit this mark in only 20% of the last five home games and 40% of the last five games overall. His current hit streak is also low, with no hits in his last home game or against the Giants. With a model edge of 0.1567, there's a strong indication that betting Under 1.5 on Jalen Tolbert's player receptions is a statistically sound decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jalen Tolbert (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Tolbert is Under 1.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.