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Sterling Shepard

TB

+19.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 22.5 -112 (1.89)
+19.5% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
Model Probability
72.4%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+19.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Sterling Shepard (TB) Under 22.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Sterling Shepard to go under 22.5 in 'player_reception_yds' appears to be a strong play considering his recent performance and hit rates. Shepard has fallen short of this mark in both his last three overall games (0/3) and his last three home games (1/3). Moreover, when facing the Philadelphia Eagles, Shepard's hit rate has been below average, both overall (1/2) and at home (1/2). His longer-term performance reflects a similar trend. In his last 20 games, Shepard has fallen short of the 22.5-yard threshold more than half the time (8/20). At home, his hit rate improves only slightly to 10/15. Against the Eagles, his hit rate remains at 50% (1/2), both overall and at home. Finally, Shepard's current hit streaks are all at zero, indicating a recent dip in his performance. This further supports a bet

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Sterling Shepard (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sterling Shepard is Under 22.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.