Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Jordan Goodwin and his matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the under on 17.5 points, rebounds, and assists feels like the right call. Away from home, Goodwin has struggled to find his rhythm, averaging just 7.6 points and 5 rebounds over his last five road games. His recent performances against the Thunder haven't been much better, with an average of only 9.6 points and 3.8 rebounds when playing in their arena. Sure, he's had a solid hit rate recently, but that's mostly a product of favorable matchups. In this one, with the Thunder's tenacious defense, Goodwin is likely to face a tough night. The numbers suggest a projected stat line closer to 11.1, well below our threshold. With the odds lining up nicely at 1.88, it's hard to see him breaking through that 17.5 mark this time around.

Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Suns prepare to face the Thunder, all eyes are on Jordan Goodwin, but betting on him to hit the over on 8.5 combined rebounds and assists might not be the best move. Recent performances paint a clear picture: he's averaging just 3.8 rebounds and a mere 0.8 assists over his last five games. Even in away games, while he has slightly better numbers, he still only brings in about 5 rebounds and 2.2 assists. Against the Thunder, his historical performance shows he's averaging just 4 rebounds and 1.6 assists, which doesn't inspire confidence for surpassing that 8.5 mark. Plus, he's been reliable under this line lately, hitting the under in all his last six games. With the stakes high and the Thunder's defense tightening up, it's hard to see Goodwin breaking out in a way that justifies betting on the over.

Ajay Mitchell (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 9.5 Points (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Ajay Mitchell to surpass that 9.5-point mark. Playing at home, Mitchell has been a scoring machine, averaging 10.8 points in his last five games on familiar turf. While he's faced the Suns recently and averaged a modest 5.3 points at home against them, the tides are turning. His overall hit rate is remarkable, having gone over in 14 of his last 20 games, and even more impressively, he's hit the mark in 15 of his last 17 home appearances. With an expected stat value of 13.68 points, it feels like a perfect storm for Mitchell to break out. The Thunder's home crowd will be buzzing, and with the odds favoring the over, it's hard to ignore the potential for him to light it up on Sunday night. This is a prime opportunity for Mitchell to shine.

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