Matt Shaw (NA) Under 3.5 Hits (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies host the Cubs, all eyes will be on Matt Shaw, but the under on 3.5 hits seems like a savvy play. Shaw, while showing promise, has faced a steep learning curve against quality pitching. The Phillies' staff has been formidable, especially at home, where they've limited opposing hitters to a mere .224 batting average. Additionally, Shaw hasn't been consistent at the plate, often swinging through pitches that would typically find the grass. With the Cubs' recent struggles against right-handed pitchers, and the potential for a tough matchup against the Phillies' ace, it’s reasonable to expect Shaw to fall short of that 3.5 mark. Considering the current form and the pressure of a big game, betting the under on Shaw's hits feels like a calculated risk, especially with a solid model suggesting a significant edge in this scenario.

Matt Shaw (NA) Under 6.5 Total Bases (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to host the Cubs, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Matt Shaw. However, betting on him to go over 6.5 total bases might be a stretch. Shaw has had his moments, but against a tough Phillies pitching staff, he’s likely to struggle. The Phillies' bullpen has been stellar lately, boasting a 3.20 ERA over the past month, making it hard for hitters to find their rhythm. Moreover, Shaw’s recent performances have shown inconsistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, which the Phillies will feature prominently. With the Cubs battling for runs and Shaw still finding his footing at the big league level, it’s wise to lean towards the under. The odds favor this approach, suggesting that the smart money is on a quieter night for Shaw at the plate. Keep an eye on this matchup as the innings unfold; it might just be one to watch.

Matt Shaw (NA) Under 3.5 Doubles (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Cubs, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Matt Shaw and his ability to find gaps in Philly’s sturdy defense. While Shaw has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent performance paints a different picture when it comes to doubles. With the Phillies boasting stellar pitching and a defense that has limited extra-base hits, it’s no surprise that the odds favor him staying under 3.5 doubles tonight. Consider that the Cubs have struggled to find consistent offense, and Shaw’s own numbers reflect a tendency to lean more on singles than extra-base hits. With the Philadelphia pitcher's ability to control the game and minimize hard contact, expecting Shaw to break through for multiple doubles might be a stretch. Bet the under, as the combination of current form and the Phillies' defensive prowess suggests a quiet night for the young hitter.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro