Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors roll into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but let's not get too carried away with expectations. With an average of just 4.8 rebounds in his last five games, his recent form suggests he may struggle to find that elusive sixth board. Specifically against the Suns, he's managed only 4.2 rebounds on average; even on the road, that number barely creeps up to 4.8. Moreover, Santos has hit the under on this line in 9 of his last 13 outings, indicating a concerning trend. Given the Suns' depth and their ability to control the glass, it's hard to see Santos eclipsing 5.5 rebounds in this matchup. With an expected stat value of just 4.03, it feels prudent to back the under here, especially considering the Warriors will need him focused on scoring rather than crashing the boards.

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors : Phoenix Suns win (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Phoenix Suns have been showing robust performances recently, and their home court advantage in this matchup against the Golden State Warriors could just be the boost they need to secure a win. They've been lighting up the boards, and their scoring ability is reflected in their model prediction of 0.79, well above the average. This implies they are more likely to outscore their opponents. Furthermore, the Suns have a model edge of 9.6% which means they're statistically in a better position to win this game. While the Warriors are known for their resilience, the Suns have been consistently outperforming expectations. This combination of factors creates a compelling case for betting on Phoenix Suns on the Moneyline market.

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