Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints : Melbourne Demons 10.5 (-111)

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Alright footy fans, let's break down why backing the Melbourne Demons at +10.5 in the spread against the St Kilda Saints is a smart play. The Demons have been on fire at home, boasting an average margin of 16 points in their last five games at the MCG. Their offensive prowess is evident, averaging 95.4 points per game during this stretch. On the defensive end, they've been solid, allowing just 79.4 points on average. On the flip side, the Saints have struggled on the road, with an average margin of -9.4 in their last five away games. Their scoring output has been lackluster, managing only 73.6 points per game while conceding 83 points on average. With the Demons' strong home form and the Saints' road woes, backing Melbourne at +10.5 looks like a winning bet with their scoring power and defensive strength on full display.

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