Fremantle Dockers vs West Coast Eagles : West Coast Eagles 44.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on West Coast Eagles +44.5 is supported by their recent away game performance, where they averaged a margin of -28. Additionally, Fremantle Dockers' L5 home games show they concede an average of 66.2 points and allow 54.8 inside 50s per game. With West Coast's ability to capitalize on these defensive gaps and Fremantle's tendency to leak points, the Eagles have a strong chance of staying within the significant spread. Considering West Coast's recent form and Fremantle's defensive vulnerabilities, the +44.5 line presents a favorable opportunity in this matchup at Optus Stadium.

Adelaide Crows vs Port Adelaide Power : Port Adelaide Power 26.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Port Adelaide Power +26.5 is supported by their recent away form, where they've shown a stronger defensive effort, limiting opponents to 78.2 points on average. Despite facing the Adelaide Crows at home, who average 84.4 points, Port's defensive capabilities could help them stay within the spread. Additionally, Port's ability to generate shots at goal and inside 50s, albeit below their season averages, could lead to them capitalizing on scoring opportunities. With the Crows allowing an average of 65 points at home, Port Adelaide may have a chance to keep the game competitive, making the +26.5 spread a viable bet.

Collingwood Magpies vs Fremantle Dockers : Fremantle Dockers 18.5 (-111)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Fremantle Dockers +18.5 is supported by their recent performance metrics. Despite playing away, the Dockers have shown a competitive edge with a recent average margin of 13 points and an average of 81 points scored in their last five games. Collingwood, on the other hand, has been conceding an average of 90.8 points in their last five home games. With Fremantle's ability to keep games close and Collingwood's vulnerability in defense, the Dockers are poised to stay within the spread. Additionally, Fremantle's higher average shots at goal and inside 50s compared to Collingwood further indicate their ability to compete and potentially exceed expectations in this matchup at the MCG.

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans : Sydney Swans 8.5 (-110)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Sydney Swans +8.5 is favorable due to their recent strong defensive performances, holding opponents to an average of 73 points in away games. With Greater Western Sydney Giants struggling to score consistently at home (averaging 78.8 points), the Swans' defensive solidity could limit the Giants' scoring opportunities. Sydney's ability to generate shots on goal (24.4 average) and Inside50s (53 average) against a Giants defense conceding 82.2 points on average at home further supports this bet. Combining these defensive strengths and offensive opportunities, Sydney Swans are likely to keep the game close, making the +8.5 spread appealing for this matchup at ENGIE Stadium.

Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions -4.5 (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Brisbane Lions -4.5 is supported by their strong offensive performance, averaging 82.4 points scored in their last five away games, compared to Gold Coast Suns' 82.6 points conceded on average in their recent matches. Brisbane's ability to generate more shots on goal and hit the target more consistently gives them an edge over Gold Coast, who struggle defensively. With Brisbane's average margin of 20.8 in away games and Gold Coast's margin averaging 7.4 at home, the Lions are poised to cover the spread. Additionally, Brisbane's higher Inside50s and Target Goals stats further indicate their offensive prowess, making them a favorable pick to win by more than 4.5 points.

Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Sydney Swans : Greater Western Sydney Giants -8.5 (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Greater Western Sydney Giants -8.5 is supported by their strong recent performance metrics. The Giants have been averaging 106.6 points for and 30.6 points against in their last five games overall. Comparatively, the Sydney Swans have shown a slightly weaker performance, averaging 86.4 points for and 13.8 points against in their last five games. With the Giants' ability to generate more inside 50s and shots at goal, coupled with the Swans' vulnerability in defense, the -8.5 spread seems achievable for the Giants. This statistical advantage suggests the Giants are well-positioned to cover the spread and secure a favorable result against the Swans.

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